Politics
John Mahama tipped to win 2024 elections – New survey
The Bureau of Election Command (BEC) has released findings of its survey which tips former President John Dramani Mahama as the next President of Ghana.
The survey conducted across the 16 regions of the country saw him leading prospective presidential candidates, including Dr Mahamudu Bawumia, Alan Kwadwo Kyerematen- both of the New Patriotic Party (NPP)- and the National Democratic Congress (NDC’s) Dr Kwabena Duffour with 48%.
A total of 11,071 respondents were interviewed during the data collection process under the mixed-method research approach. Of that number, 5,272 respondents representing 48% said they would approve the ex-president to be their next leader when the nation goes to the polls in 2024.
The BEC’s report sighted by Angelonline.com.gh added: “2,199 respondents representing 20% said they will prefer Dr Mahamudu Bawumia to be the next president of Ghana.”
“2,701 respondents representing 24% said that they will prefer Mr Alan Kwadwo Kyerematen to be the next president of Ghana and lastly, 899 respondents representing 8% said that they will prefer Dr Kwabena Duffour to be the next president of Ghana.”
According to the report, the people’s choice for Mr Mahama is informed by the high rate of unemployment among the youth, the NPP administration’s abandonment of projects started by the NDC government which they believe could have lessened their challenges, and the failed promises of the Akufo-Addo-led administration.
Breakdown of data
Bono Region
Out of 457 respondents interviewed in Bono Region, 203 respondents representing 44% said they would prefer Ex-president John Dramani Mahama to be the next president of Ghana come the 2024 presidential election, 81 respondents representing 18% said they would prefer Dr Mahamudu Bawumia to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential election, 128 respondents representing 28% said they would prefer Mr John Alan Kyeremanten to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential election and 43 respondents representing 10% said they would prefer Dr Kwabena Duffour to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential election.
Bono East Region
Out of 493 respondents interviewed in Bono East Region, 261 respondents representing 53% said they will prefer Ex-president John Dramani Mahama to be the next president of Ghana come the 2024 presidential election, 78 respondents representing 16% said they will prefer Dr Mahamudu Bawumia to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential election, 94 respondents representing 19% said they will prefer Mr John Alan Kyeremanten to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election and 60 respondents representing 12% said they will prefer Dr Kwabena Duffuor to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential election.
Ahafo Region
Out of 449 respondents interviewed in Ahafo Region, 164 respondents representing 36% said they will prefer Ex-president John Dramani Mahama to be the next president of Ghana come the 2024 presidential election, 95 respondents representing 21% said they will prefer Dr Mahamudu Bawumia to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential election, 133 respondents representing 30% said they will prefer Mr John Alan Kyeremanten to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election and 57 respondents representing 13% said they will prefer Dr Kwabena Duffour to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election.
Western North Region
Out of 477 respondents interviewed in Western North Region, 233 respondents representing 49% said they will prefer Ex-president John Dramani Mahama to be the next president of Ghana come the 2024 presidential election, 61 respondents representing 13% said they will prefer Dr Mahamudu Bawumia to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential election, 118 respondents representing 24% said they will prefer Mr John Alan Kyeremanten to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election and 65 respondents representing 14% said they will prefer Dr Kwabena Duffour to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election
Western Region
Out of 802 respondents interviewed in Western Region, 337 respondents representing 42% said they will prefer Ex-president John Dramani Mahama to be the next president of Ghana come the 2024 presidential election, 142 respondents representing 18% said they will prefer Dr Mahamudu Bawumia to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential election, 229 respondents representing 28% said they will prefer Mr John Alan Kyeremanten to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election and 94 respondents representing 12% said they will prefer Dr Kwabena Duffuor to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election.
b>Central Region
Out of 687 respondents interviewed in Central Region, 285 respondents representing 41% said they will prefer Ex-president John Dramani Mahama to be the next president of Ghana come the 2024 presidential election, 112 respondents representing 16% said they will prefer Dr Mahamudu Bawumia to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential election, 227 respondents representing 33% said they will prefer Mr John Alan Kyeremanten to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election and 63 respondents representing 10% said they will prefer Dr Kwabena Duffuor to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election.
Eastern Region
Out of 568 respondents interviewed in Eastern Region, 180 respondents representing 32% said they will prefer Ex-president John Dramani Mahama to be the next president of Ghana come the 2024 presidential election, 108 respondents representing 19% said they will prefer Dr Mahamudu Bawumia to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential election, 215 respondents representing 38% said they will prefer Mr John Alan Kyeremanten to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election and 65 respondents representing 11% said they will prefer Dr Kwabena Duffuor to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election.
Volta Region
Out of 652 respondents interviewed in Volta Region, 439 respondents representing 67%% said they will prefer Ex-president John Dramani Mahama to be the next president of Ghana come the 2024 presidential election, 36 respondents representing 6% said they will prefer Dr Mahamudu Bawumia to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential election, 97 respondents representing 15% said they will prefer Mr John Alan Kyeremanten to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election and 80 respondents representing 12% said they will prefer Dr Kwabena Duffuor to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election.
Oti Region
Out of 442 respondents interviewed in Oti Region, 294 respondents representing 67% said they will prefer Ex-president John Dramani Mahama to be the next president of Ghana come the 2024 presidential election, 40 respondents representing 9% said they will prefer Dr Mahamudu Bawumia to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential election, 62 respondents representing 14% said they will prefer Mr John Alan Kyeremanten to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election and 80 respondents representing 10% said they will prefer Dr Kwabena Duffuor to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election.
Savannah Region
Out of 528 respondents interviewed in Savannah Region, 322 respondents representing 61% said they will prefer Ex-president John Dramani Mahama to be the next president of Ghana come the 2024 presidential election, 132 respondents representing 24% said they will prefer Dr Mahamudu Bawumia to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential election, 54 respondents representing 10% said they will prefer Mr John Alan Kyeremanten to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election and 29 respondents representing 5% said they will prefer Dr Kwabena Duffuor to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election.
Northern Region
Out of 1,284 respondents interviewed in the Northern Region, 662 respondents representing 52% said they will prefer Ex-president John Dramani Mahama to be the next president of Ghana come the 2024 presidential election, 471 respondents representing 37% said they will prefer Dr Mahamudu Bawumia to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential election, 96 respondents representing 9% said they will prefer Mr John Alan Kyeremanten to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election and 55 respondents representing 4% said they will prefer Dr Kwabena Duffuor to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election.
North-East Region
Out of 432 respondents interviewed in the North-East Region, 174 respondents representing 40% said they will prefer Ex-president John Dramani Mahama to be the next president of Ghana come the 2024 presidential election, 203 respondents representing 47% said they will prefer Dr Mahamudu Bawumia to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential election, 41 respondents representing 10% said they will prefer Mr John Alan Kyeremanten to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election and 14 respondents representing 3% said they will prefer Dr Kwabena Duffuor to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential election.
Upper East Region
Out of 472 respondents interviewed in Upper East Region, 282 respondents representing 60% said they will prefer Ex-president John Dramani Mahama to be the next president of Ghana come the 2024 presidential election, 122 respondents representing 26% said they will prefer Dr Mahamudu Bawumia to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential election, 49 respondents representing 10% said they will prefer Mr John Alan Kyeremanten to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election and 19 respondents representing 4% said they will prefer Dr Kwabena Duffuor to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election.
Upper West Region
Out of 458 respondents interviewed in Upper West Region, 276 respondents representing 60% said they will prefer Ex-president John Dramani Mahama to be the next president of Ghana come the 2024 presidential election, 120 respondents representing 26% said they will prefer Dr Mahamudu Bawumia to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential election, 49 respondents representing 11% said they will prefer Mr John Alan Kyeremanten to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election and 19 respondents representing 3% said they will prefer Dr Kwabena Duffuor to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election.
Ashanti Region
Out of 1,188 respondents interviewed in Ashanti Region, 384 respondents representing 32%, said they would prefer Ex-president John Dramani Mahama to be the next president of Ghana come the 2024 presidential election, 172 respondents representing 14%, said they would opt for Dr Mahamudu Bawumia to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential election, 516 respondents representing 43% said they would prefer Mr John Alan Kyeremanten to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election and 116 respondents representing 10% said they would choose Dr Kwabena Duffuor to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general elections.
Greater Accra Region
Out of 1,682 respondents interviewed in Greater Accra Region, 776 respondents representing 46% said they will prefer Ex-president John Dramani Mahama to be the next president of Ghana come the 2024 presidential election, 254 respondents representing 15% said they will prefer Dr Mahamudu Bawumia to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential election, 573 respondents representing 34% said they will prefer Mr John Alan Kyeremanten to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election and 79 respondents representing 5% said they will prefer Dr Kwabena Duffuor to be the next president of Ghana come 2024 presidential general election.
The Vice President, Dr Mahamudu Bawumia has been elected to lead the New Patriotic Party (NPP) for Election 2024 as flagbearer.
It had been predicted Bawumia was going to win with a larger margin but as promised, Kennedy Ohene Agyapong gave him a “showdown”.
Ken Agyapong, the Member of Parliament for Assin Central came second with 37.41%.
Dr Owusu Afriyie Akoto came third with 0.76% while Francis Addai Nimoh was last with 0.41%.
The Institute of Research Innovation & Development at Kumasi Technical University, in its latest poll, has disclosed that Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia stands a greater chance of winning the upcoming New Patritoc Party (NPP) flagbearer race as he will most likely secure an overwhelming victory in eight regions.
Ahead of the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) presidential primaries on Saturday, November 4, many researchers have tipped Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia as leading the race, with Assin Central MP Kennedy Agyapong being his closest contender.
The latest to conduct a poll on the upcoming election is the Institute of Research Innovation & Development at Kumasi Technical University.
The director of the Institute, who is the lead researcher for the poll, Prof. Smart Sarpong, in an interview with Citi News, disclosed that 15,595 NPP delegates were engaged.
He noted that the key components considered among the four aspirants were who is the most unifying, who has the most visible leadership qualities, who is most likely to break the “8,” as well as non-policy factors such as religion and ethnicity were taken into account.
Prof. Smart Sarpong disclosed that 71.1% of the respondents said Dr. Bawumia has a higher chance of breaking the “8,” while 26.8% of them stated that Kennedy Agyapong stands a better chance of breaking the “8.” 1.8% and 0.3% chose Dr. Owusu Afriyie Akoto and Mr. Addai Nimo, respectively.
69.9% also described Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia as the most unifying, whereas 19.4% said Kennedy Agyapong is the most unifying. In terms of being the most unifying, Dr. Owusu Afriyie Akoto had 8.5%, while Francis Addai Nimo had 2.2%.
In terms of being the aspirant with the most visible leadership qualities, 70.5% of the delegates engaged chose Dr. Bawumia, and 19.4% mentioned Mr. Kennedy Agyapong. 8.1% and 2.0% of the delegates chose Dr. Owusu Afriyie Akoto and Addai Nimo, respectively.
With respect to how religion or ethnocentrism can influence the choice of vote, 13.4% said religion would be taken into consideration, while 86.4% said they would not consider religion. 13.8% of the delegates said they would strongly consider ethnicity, while 86.2% said they would not consider one’s ethnic background before voting for them. 97.1% noted they would take into account the past record of each person before voting for them, while 2.9% said that factor would not be considered.
Out of the 16 regions and the one national headquarters, Prof. Smart Sarpong revealed that Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia has a commanding lead in eight (8) regions with an average of 81.9%.
“Out of these 17 clusters (the 16 regions and the NPP national headquarters), I see 8 of the clusters being already decided. The Vice President has taken a very good lead. Those regions include; North East, Northern region, Upper East and Upper West, Ashanti, Bono, Eastern, and Volta.”
Prof. Smart Sarpong further noted that their research predicts that the election would be open in five regions, as none of the aspirants has a clear lead.
He, however, noted that the work the aspirants put in a few days before the election could change the dynamics.
“It is 50/50 for any aspirant who works extra harder. Those 5 regions include the Western region, Savannah region, BonoEast region, the party headquarters, and Western North.”
The research also showed that Mr. Kennedy Agyapong could have a clear lead in four other regions if he works harder, as he is leading with an average of 49.6%.
“The following regions have the potential of going for Hon. Ken Ohene Agyapong. They are likely going to go for him. It doesn’t mean he should go to sleep on them. He should try and consolidate whatever gains he has in these four regions. So, Hon. Ken and the team, Oti region, Greater Accra region, Central region, and Ahafo region.”
Reacting to the latest poll, the spokesperson of the Kennedy Agyapong campaign team in the Ashanti region, William Kusi, insists that despite the research stating that their candidate is not strong enough in the Ashanti region, their own poll states otherwise.
“Our candidate, for instance, has combed the whole country, and we as a campaign team have also done a lot of work, especially in the Ashanti region. We have heard of the sponsored polls that have come out and are giving Dr. Bawumia the lead, but we disagree because on the ground, we are far ahead.
For instance, our internal polls suggest that we are going to have 75-80 percent support in the Ashanti region. So, when I heard of the polls from the one who always fails, Ben Ephson, for instance, I was like, what is happening? Smart Sarpong at the regional level did so well with his polls. It was accurate, but he is getting it wrong this time,” he said.
The governing New Patriotic Party (NPP) is diligently preparing to hold its polls on Saturday, November 4, 2023, to elect a flagbearer for the 2024 general elections.
Over 200,000 party delegates will participate in this crucial poll, which the party says is part of the process of finding a suitable candidate to help it break the eight-year election cycle jinx.
Four aspirants are currently vying to succeed President Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo, after the party trimmed down the list of 10 flagbearer hopefuls in its August Super Delegates Conference.
Other aspirants who initially made it to the list have opted out of the race.
The remaining four aspirants in the race are Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, MP for Assin Central, Kennedy Ohene Agyapong, former Agriculture Minister, Dr. Owusu Akoto Afriyie, and former MP for Mampong, Francis Addai-Nimoh.
Although Dr. Bawumia has been tipped by several pollsters to win, they believe he will face stiff competition from Kennedy Agyapong.
The contestants were compelled to sign an undertaking not to resign from the party in case any of them lost.
The election, which will determine a flagbearer to represent the party in the 2024 general elections, will take place in every constituency across all 16 regions of the country.
On the ballot paper, Kennedy Agyapong will be at the top, followed by Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia in the second slot.
Dr. Owusu Afriyie Akoto and former MP for Mampong, Francis Addai Nimo, will be in the third and fourth slots, respectively.
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